We all can agree that the iPhone is a revolution. Well, I just so happen to work in the Telecommunications sector and I can see the iPhone becoming more that just a “fad.” I envision a world where there are no more traditional POTS (plain old telephone service) and PSTN (public switched telephone network) lines.
How is this for a theory? You have an iPhone that you simply put into a docking station at home and it serves as a phone, your internet connection for the home, and, guess what? You can pick it up and take it with you to work and do the exact same thing. All over a wireless network of your choice. Now I understand that Apple and AT&T have an exclusivity deal, but that will not last forever. I understand that 3G is not fast enough to be a practical Internet solution for large business, but 4G and more are on the horizon.
I believe the iPhone is going to get an extreme amount of the mobile market share over the next five years, as Apple is constantly improving the platform and the amount of applications for it is growing each and every day. I have to be honest, I did not have a cell phone for about a year before I got my iPhone, and I don’t know how I functioned without it. Aside from running full blown applications, there is nothing my iPhone can’t do that my Mac does not do.
The only issue I see with this scenario is that it will cost a lot of money with the wireless provider. You will have your calling plan, your data plan and a tethering plan that you will have to pay for. This can run well over $150 to $200 a month, and that’s pretty steep. People such as me who are in the middle class probably will not be able to afford it, but I think the wireless carriers will acknowlege that and adjust pricing so the masses can use the products they want to.
I can see Apple getting as much as 40% total market share by 2014. Especially if they continue to upgrade the hardware and firmware of the iPhone, which I guarantee they will do. What are your thoughts?